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The Gold Term Curve

PAXGy shows what gold yields today. Aureus creates a market for what gold may yield tomorrow.

The Aureus Gold Term Curve is a transparent, market-implied gold rate for every maturity.

PT redeems for 1 PAXG at maturity. Its price today in the PT / PAXGy pool, expressed in PAXG, implies an annualised rate:

implied rate = (1 / PT price) ^ (1 / t) − 1
PT price : price of 1 PT, in PAXG
t : time to maturity, in years

These are indicative testnet rates, the same used on the Aureus website. They are not live market data.

MaturityDaysPT price (PAXG)10 PT costImplied rate
30D300.9982≈ 9.982 PAXG2.20%
90D900.9942≈ 9.942 PAXG2.38%
180D1800.9877≈ 9.877 PAXG2.55%
1Y3650.9728≈ 9.728 PAXG2.80%

Buying 10 PT-1Y at 0.9728 costs about 9.73 PAXG and redeems for 10 PAXG at maturity: roughly a 2.80% annualised rate, subject to the risks of the underlying asset and the protocol.

Plot the implied rates against time to maturity:

  • Upward sloping. The market expects gold yield to be higher over longer terms, or demands more to lock it for longer.
  • Flat. Similar expectations across terms.
  • Inverted. The market expects gold yield to fall.

Gold lease rates in traditional markets are opaque and set bilaterally. A curve derived from open market prices gives treasuries, funds, lenders and DeFi protocols a shared, verifiable reference for what gold yield is worth over time.